Chapter 519
2021-01-06
Chapter 519 Fright Night (Part 2)Night Attack.
Ordinary people often hear this word and subconsciously think it is awesome and powerful... as if it is a killing move to defeat the enemy, a spirit pill and marvelous medicine to win a war, and the world is mine when this move comes out. But in reality, this impression stems largely from a cognitive fallacy: survivorship bias.
This concept, as the name suggests, can be summed up in one sentence: those who can be seen after the fact are all those who survived.
The results we see are themselves filtered.
In literary works, the creators weave a "night attack" story, mostly to describe a general who can fight well and use soldiers like a god... Under this premise, the direction of the plot is almost It must be the night raider who succeeded. The reasoning is simple: detailing a failed night battle doesn't help the story's brilliance.
Some people will definitely say: Even if it is not a fictional romance, in the exact historical records, night raids seem to be mostly successful. As everyone knows, this is precisely the embodiment of the survivor bias at play.
The cover of the night does allow attackers to take the lead and have a slight first-strike advantage, but it also means that the battle must be carried out on the territory of the attacked side, regardless of whether it is a fortified castle. A well-placed fortress is a natural nemesis for raids. It is true that the dark night will greatly reduce the defender's observation and judgment of the battlefield situation, making effective command and dispatch difficult... But the fact is: the active attacking party has a greater demand for the accuracy of command and dispatch, which is weakened by the night. more serious.
The success of a night attack depends on whether the initiator has enough military literacy and organizational ability to cooperate in the dark night, and whether it can rely on sneaking close to grab the moment. Timing advantage, quickly stripping away the home field occupied by the defending team.
It doesn't seem complicated, but unfortunately: in this era when real-time communication tools have not yet been born, and conscripts rather than professional soldiers occupy the main body of the army, an army of sufficient quality to realize this tactic, in ten-thousand does not have one.
As long as there are still fights in frontal combat, no one will consider taking risks; generals who are not skilled and daring will not have the courage to launch night battles; only elites who do not suffer from night blindness can have the ability Competent to carry out orders; in the end—and only after a great victory can this battle be qualified to be recorded in detail, and will be widely circulated by the world's great books...
After this layer by layer Layers of matryoshka-like sifting eventually revealed the survivor bias: night raids seemed to be an effective and easy tactic.
But the truth is quite the opposite!
Igor's attempt at night attack this time is also a strange move that was compelled by circumstances. Whether it is the advantage of transmigrator's familiarity with the plot, or the unique identity of the agent of Red God, Igor will not make the difficulties he faces less light.
The commanding problem in the dark night was barely overcome by him with detailed tactical planning, a complete and large-scale officer system, and well-trained and combat-tested land-grant army soldiers; Winterfell's home ground ——The two layers of solid "turtle shell" were easily broken by gunpowder, a new weapon that was officially put into war against people for the first time; as for the "stone labyrinth" that they would face after finally entering the castle, this may be for other attackers. It is a thorny trouble, but for Igor, it is useless: not only he himself has visited Midwinter many times and he is very familiar with him, but even many of his trusted officers have been fortunate enough to be able to use the black clothed on their bodies during their travels from south to north. Enter the city for the night, pick out these people to lead the team, and then distribute a detailed map of Winterfell on this basis...since ancient times, any army that launches a night attack must face the Hell difficulty test paper, so it was given to the land-grant army. Completed bits and pieces.
In line with the principle of following his heart, Igor did not lead the attack himself, but sat in the headquarters under the protection of hundreds of left-behind reserves, quietly waiting for the result of the siege.
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In a low voice, the rebels who raided into the city, the defenders headed on...a few torch columns were watching the battle in the main castle Under the gaze of tit for tat ruthless bumped together. The veil of night concealed all the details of the battle, but with the violent dancing of the torch and the faint screams, the tragic killing could be completely imagined. The rebels have the upper hand in number and organization, but all those who are qualified to guard the winter are all North heroes. In the street battle in the narrow environment between the castle buildings, the quality of individual soldiers and the role of personal bravery cannot be ignored. In this regard, the defenders actually have the advantage. Arya originally thought that the first round encounter would last at least for a while, but the reality is: among the flashes of fire, a familiar but much weaker explosion sounded than when the city gate was broken, representing the attacker's two torch lengths. The snake is like swallowing food with its mouth open... The speed decreased slightly, but it rolled over the defenders without stopping!
"The tenacious defender" is the last difficulty of this raid, and Igor's solution is: Whenever there is more than double-digit resistance, it will be solved with explosive bombs.
This is a crucial battle that cannot be lost. Any savings that may increase losses and risks are unnecessary. A slightly improved anti-infantry bomb can easily disintegrate people's will to resist and battle strength, but It rarely causes lethal damage, and this is exactly in line with the command's tactical goal of "minimizing casualties to the enemy".
A few seconds of continuous roars came from the east and north of the castle. The two land-grant troops who entered the castle seemed to be slow and unwavering according to the established tactics to the target. Pushing forward, how decisive and firm the defenders were in fighting against the bombs, and how neatly they were defeated, the news that the castle was rapidly falling into the enemy's hand was quickly brought to the school grounds by the wounded and retreating soldiers. In the hands of Robb Stark, he, the City Lord, had cold hands and feet, like a dream.
The two granite city walls built by our ancestors for many years, House Stark's biggest reliance on safety and survival, did not even block the rebels for a moment, as if two pieces of tissue paper were stabbed and shattered!
Robb's innate military instincts made Robb realize that the city's fall was a fact, and it was difficult to reverse it, but as North's guardian and Young Wolf's pride, he had to do Stranded Beast's Struggle again.
"Come here, go to the west and south, and let the defenders abandon the city wall and withdraw into the main fort!" The countermeasures were formed in his mind in an instant, and he turned to another guard: " Go to Maester Luwin, let him release Raven, and tell the princes of North that they are attacked in winter, and order them to come immediately!"
The city wall has been crossed, but "Winterfell" is not just those two The wall, Robb will not forget: long before the first inner wall was built on the periphery of the building complex, the ancestors of oneself had already ruled the surrounding large territory for thousands of years based on the predecessor of the first fort, the main fort. .
Even if all the surrounding buildings are stripped away, the main fort itself is still a military building with a defensive function!
As long as you quickly gather your troops back into the main castle, try to drag on for a day, you can wait for the first batch of reinforcements that have assembled at Castle Cerwyn, when the time comes and then attack from inside and out, you can turn defeat into victory. A big turnaround is possible!
It was a good plan, but when it was implemented, Robb was embarrassed to find that a series of cautious orders issued by oneself a moment ago when the stables were on fire turned out to be the biggest obstacle to the new plan: he was defending the rebels. Of course, there is nothing wrong with this order to send a large number of defenders to the periphery to take advantage of the fire, but at this moment, it makes the "collection of troops" impossible!
Clay Saiwen saw Feng Jun's hesitation, and immediately said: "Sir, I have already brought many people to put out the fire. As long as I get back there before the rebels take over the arsenal, Retrieve the equipment and then retreat into the main fort, more than enough to defend the fort!"
Robb came back to his senses, looked around and nodded: "Very well, those who gathered you, come with me!"
The soldiers from Castle Cerwyn threw down their firefighting tools, followed the Winterfell master and trotted back to the defending camp in a hurry. They were still separated by a distance of more than ten meters. The sound made their hearts skip a beat. The speed of the enemy is so fast, but within ten minutes, they have already attacked the weapon warehouse from the city gate position!
Clay Saiwen glanced at a distance, relaxed: "The rebels haven't taken down the arsenal yet, we'll kill them from behind, and we'll be able to beat them completely unprepared!"
No need for him Said, Robb has also come to the same conclusion, he pulled out the sword around his waist, inhaled and shouted: "The front row with weapons, long live North!"
In the screams of killing , the original firefighting team launched a valiant charge with the Lord of North, and from the imposing manner, it could not be seen that less than half of them actually had weapons. In front of me, although the number of land-grant army soldiers who entered the arsenal first from the east gate was large, they were fighting with the guards guarding the arsenal. Half of them had already invaded and the other half were still outside the house...for a moment , this wave of ferocious counterattacks seemed to be effective, until the back row of the "rebels" turned their heads in a panic at the commander's order and threw the spherical objects with fire stars at their feet. .
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(end of this chapter)