Page 929
"Actually, no matter whether it's Made in China 2025, or German Industry 4.0, or the advanced manufacturing industry in the United States, all their ideas boil down to doing one thing."
"Using less energy and less material to produce products with more information or knowledge content is a basic law of evolution."
"On this basis, we can further explore what kind of position industrial manufacturing is in in our current modern society."
"So in my personal opinion, the general trend of the future development of the manufacturing industry should be that the manufacturing industry is getting stronger and stronger, but at the same time it is getting smaller and smaller."
"What does this mean?"
"It is powerful because it can use more raw materials and have greater productivity. At the same time, there are more diversified choices, and it can even be tailored and customized, so the manufacturing capabilities are becoming stronger and stronger. "
"The previous manufacturing industry tested the ability to produce one thing, and the future manufacturing industry will test the ability to produce different things. In the past, assembly line factories could produce thousands of the same product in 5 minutes, which is very powerful."
"And the manufacturing factory of the future that produces thousands of different products in five minutes is even more powerful."
"In the future, the manufacturing industry will become smaller and smaller, because its proportion in the national economy will become smaller and smaller, and the number of people employed in the manufacturing industry will continue to decline. From this perspective, it is It's getting smaller and smaller."
"Why? Because when we talk about the rejuvenation of the country by the manufacturing industry, we often think that the scale of the manufacturing industry must become larger and larger, and the output value must be larger and larger. At the same time, its proportion in the national economy is increasing. Employment There should be more and more workers.”
"That's why some people shouted to use the manufacturing industry to return to re-employment. This is called prosperity."
"I think that's going the wrong way! My personal opinion is the exact opposite, and the reasoning is that as manufacturing moves forward, you find that manufacturing is a net loss of knowledge, or a net outflow of knowledge. It is constantly being shifted out of the manufacturing industry.”
"To give another example, with the emergence of nanotechnology, a new raw material can be used in the manufacturing industry, which can produce products with better quality and better performance. Then this new material is being used by the manufacturing industry. After the introduction, we will find that the amount of knowledge in the manufacturing industry has been lost.”
"why?"
"Because nanotechnology may be first developed in scientific research institutes and universities, rather than factories."
"As for the practitioners in the manufacturing industry, it is not necessary and impossible for him to do research on basic material science, publish a large number of papers, and do a large number of experiments to verify its concept, and finally come up with such a technology."
"The normal rule is that it is used directly after purchase, so in the process, it will be discovered that for him, new knowledge creation is produced in different industries, which is already outside the manufacturing system."
"As for the manufacturing industry itself, when it replaces the previous steel or other materials with nanomaterials, the amount of knowledge it used to know is lost and eliminated, because it is useless and uncompetitive. .”
"At this time, we will find that the introduction of emerging technologies into industrial manufacturing, from the perspective of knowledge, means that the amount of knowledge in manufacturing is constantly shrinking, while the amount of knowledge in other emerging industries is constantly expanding."
"This is also an inevitable law, because society is progressive, and this will inevitably lead to further division of labor."
"We are talking about technological innovations of one kind or another. Fundamentally speaking, it must increase the total amount of information from raw materials to consumers. This has always been an increase. This core logic must be repeatedly emphasized."
"However, it will be found that in the process of this increase, more and more shares begin to belong to the tertiary industry such as the service industry, or other emerging industries that assist the manufacturing industry. Therefore, we see that the tertiary industry in developed countries plays an important role in the national economy. dominate."
"And the market share of industrial manufacturing itself is shrinking. For example, an engineer and technician in traditional industries, a master, has a basic skill, that is, he must draw pictures."
"The technical workers of the previous generation should have drawn when they were learning mechanical drawing, so you need a drawing board, and you need to use perspective to draw mechanical parts or even the entire machine."
"This thing is quite time-consuming and labor-intensive. This is the embodiment of the amount of knowledge. This is the information and important skills you have. Who is in the hands? Skilled workers, factories."
"But with the rise of computers, CAD appeared, that is, computer-aided design systems appeared, and electronic industry software emerged."
"You will find that emerging industries and new technologies have transferred all the knowledge possessed by a large number of these traditional technical personnel, and these technical personnel have naturally lost their jobs."
"And the transferred knowledge has become computer-standard assisted drawing. For all such basic modules, you only need to buy products from software companies, such as Microsoft, and call it. So software companies such as Microsoft and Oracle It should have smashed the jobs of many technical engineers."
At this moment, Li Linfei was talking eloquently on the stage, but the people off the stage were actually quite engrossed in listening to it, even those big shots and giants nodded from time to time.
It is no wonder that more than 10 people came to this conference to pay their respects. Participating in this high-end forum exchange conference can absorb a lot of essential knowledge. There is no doubt that smart people can absorb more.
And when Li Linfei said this, the director of the live broadcast of the conference gave the main camera to Bill Gates who was present at the conference. He brought a translator and couldn't help laughing.
Although Gates is no longer in charge of Microsoft, and his shares in Microsoft are all below 5, everyone knows that the spiritual leader of Microsoft technology is called Bill Gates.
Li Linfei on the stage continued: So in the process of production design, such as digital modeling, simulation, etc., to a large extent, this engineering technology and its original knowledge are finally transferred to the emerging industry of the software industry. "
The first thousand 330 nine chapters Li Linfei's unique speech (3)
"Then in the production process, the production process and standards used to be controlled by the experience of master craftsmen, but now computer-controlled automated production lines are on the rise, and a large number of programmed and precisely controlled parameters are concentrated in sensors and embedded operating systems."
"And this series of production tools and equipment are controlled by industrial software, so the old master's knowledge and experience in factories, industry, and manufacturing will be replaced by industrial software."
"Factory owners don't need master craftsmen, but buy computers and hire programmers."
"Another example is the traditional market sales, which used to rely on the relationship between people to approve the goods. I informed my customers to let him pick up the goods and purchase."
"Now, it has been replaced by e-commerce, and transactions can be completed under the Internet c2c model, and all consumers' consumption information is captured, so big data has emerged!"
"Then obviously it is infinitely more powerful than relying on manual work by yourself, and the cost is cheaper. The most important thing is that you have mastered the big data of information, which may be the most precious wealth."
"It is more valuable than the traded product itself. In fact, it is exactly the same. Otherwise, why are you building a data center now?"
"So in traditional industries and manufacturing, a lot of this kind of knowledge is actually replaced by this kind of knowledge in emerging industries, but the total amount of knowledge is increasing exponentially, so our society is constantly improving, and technology is constantly improving. develop."
"This leads to a basic law. The amount of knowledge in manufacturing is constantly passing away. If we believe in some extreme examples in science fiction movies."
"In a fully automatic unmanned factory, there is no one in it. Everything in these factories is produced by automation, and all production activities are completed by sensors, computers, and industrial robots."
"Under such circumstances, all the knowledge of traditional industrial manufacturing has been evacuated, and all of it has been transferred to other industries."
"So I personally boldly predict that the further the manufacturing industry develops in the future, the more developed and stronger it will be, and it will need more and more supporting industries."
"Or most of them belong to the tertiary industry, which will become larger and larger, and more and more people will be employed by the tertiary industry, while the number of employees in the manufacturing industry will continue to decline and will also be transferred."
"In fact, this law has already appeared no matter which country it is in, and it is a very obvious trend. That is, the proportion of manufacturing in the entire economy has been declining. This is a major trend and a major trend. .”
"So when everyone is talking about the U.S. requiring the reshoring of manufacturing, what is the main purpose and motivation of the reshoring? We all know that it is to create new jobs in the U.S."
"So I feel that Laomei's road is positioned in this way, and it is going astray, and it is more serious. That kind of traditional jobs will inevitably be lost, because it will not be competitive in the future, so you can't stop it. This kind of big trend, the United States can’t do it, and no one can do it.”
As soon as these words came out, they were loud, powerful, and well-founded.
The live footage was shown to many American technology giants, many of whom nodded silently, and was shown to several American dignitaries present, all of them were expressionless.
Li Linfei was actually very euphemistic when he said that he was going astray. To put it bluntly, Lao Mei, you have taken a path of no return that is doomed to failure.
On the stage, he paused for a moment, looked around the audience, licked his lips and moistened his lips, and continued: "So, I think this is also an inspiration to people from all walks of life in our country and society, that is, what kind of employment is it?" Is the position a promising and competitive job in the future?"
"It must not be to protect the production line jobs in the traditional industrial manufacturing, but to create new jobs. The main purpose of this job is to continuously evacuate the knowledge of traditional manufacturing. This is the most promising job in the future. .”
"This kind of emerging work, in the process, you will find that its general trend is to make the manufacturing industry stupid. Of course, I know that everyone is talking about smart manufacturing. The manufacturing industry is getting smarter, but you are saying that it is getting more and more stupid. , or at such a conference, you are not here to disrupt the stage..."
Li Linfei smiled and talked to himself, and the scene also ushered in a burst of laughter. The scene of listening carefully became a lot easier and the atmosphere was a lot more lively.
After the episode, Li Linfei continued: "I think we need to look at it from a different angle. Smart manufacturing is from the inside, from the inside of the industrial system. When you look at industrial manufacturing, you will find how intelligent it is and become so intelligent. complex."
"But I think it's better to look at it from the user's point of view and from the outside of the industrial system. From this new perspective, you will find that the manufacturing industry has been becoming more and more stupid and simpler."
"Take the point-and-shoot camera more than 20 years ago as an example. Everyone thinks that a point-and-shoot camera is stupid. In fact, it is not a camera that is stupid. Adjust the shutter, and then you can take a picture."