Chapter 602 Industrial Policy
Beijing.
Siheyuan.
The temperature in Beijing in August is still very high.
It is a few degrees lower than thirty years later, but still very hot.
After leaving Hong Kong, Liu Tao took a special plane back to Beijing.
In addition to taking a vacation, he also attended an important meeting - the "Torch Plan" working meeting.
This is the first national "Torch Plan" working meeting held by the State Science and Technology Commission, which aims to develop the "Torch Plan" of high-tech industries!
The purpose of the "Torch Plan" is to promote the commercialization of high-tech and new technology research results through policy support, and promote the formation and development of high-tech and new technology industries!
The "Torch Plan" is to further develop the high-tech achievements in the national "Seventh Five-Year Plan" science and technology research and development plan, namely the "863" plan, to form high-tech industry products that are competitive in the domestic and foreign markets.
Liu Tao has some contact with this "Torch Plan", because more than thirty years later, this plan still exists.
Liu Tao drank tea while flipping through the relevant materials of this "Torch Plan". This meeting will last for four days.
Since the reform and opening up, due to the influence of the United States and the Soviet Union, there have been two huge divergent views on economic development.
One view is influenced by American liberal economics, believes in liberal economics, and believes that all forms of industrial policies should be abolished, and everything should be left to the invisible hand of the market, and left to the market to choose. Marketization has the highest efficiency and the best driving force, and the survival of the fittest.
This view believes that the reason why industrial policies fail is, first, due to the limitations of human cognitive ability, and second, due to the distortion of incentive mechanisms.
One view is that backward countries cannot do without industrial policies. Industries need national industrial policies to guide them, so that they can develop faster and better, so that they have the opportunity to develop. If backward countries do not have industrial policies, how can they compete with developed countries?
From a certain perspective, this is not only a continuation of the disagreement between capitalist system economy and socialist system economy, but also a continuation of the paradigm dispute between American neoclassical economics and Hayek economics to China.
This dispute in the economics community can be traced back to the debate between Keynes and Hayek in the 1930s. These two pioneers of economics fought several rounds of battles on "whether the government should intervene in the market."
Who is right and who is wrong, in fact, even after another 30 years, there is no conclusion, and there will be endless debate.
But there is no doubt that China has chosen industrial policy!
After all, China has its own national conditions. Now China's state-owned economy and collective economy still occupy an absolute dominant position, and the private economy is still very weak.
This point determines that China will choose industrial policy!
One of the important reasons why Hayek's liberalism has regained favor in the United States is that since the 1970s, the British and American economies have been in economic stagflation for more than a decade, which has made many people believe that Hayek's liberalism can lead everyone out of economic stagflation and re-enter the path of rapid economic development.
Even if Reagan implemented free economics after taking office, and was even praised as "Reagan's free economics", the problem of economic stagflation in the United States has not been solved in these years, but many people believe that it is because it has not been implemented in place.
But China does not have this problem. From the reform and opening up to the present, China's economy has been advancing by leaps and bounds. Even every year, economic experts will shout that the economy is overheated and the country should come forward to cool down the economy.
This kind of economic stagflation problem does not exist in China at all. Naturally, the national conditions are different from those in Europe and the United States.
After reading the information in his hand, Liu Tao took a pen and wrote in his notebook. Since he was attending the meeting, he naturally had to think it through first.
Because this work meeting will have a long-term impact on the whole country, not just one or two years.
Liu Tao also hopes that because of his suggestions, the "Torch Plan" will develop in a good direction for the country.
Zhu Lin brought the plate over and gently put it on the table, and put the tea cups, fruit plates and cakes on the plate on the table.
In the distance, the children were playing.
Summer vacation is undoubtedly the happiest time for children. They don't have to go to school and can work hard. No student doesn't like it.
Liu Tao closed his notebook.
The two drank tea here, listened to the sound of cicadas, watched the children playing in the distance, and talked and laughed in a low voice.
At seven o'clock in the evening, Liu Tao watched the news.
There are three most noteworthy points in today's news. One is that after several months of hard work, the Soviet Union finally achieved its goal and withdrew from the Afghan battlefield with dignity, ending the Soviet Union's nine-year war in Afghanistan.
One point is that China and the Soviet Union successfully resolved long-standing problems and reached a series of agreements through negotiations. Now these agreements have been formally implemented, which has contributed to world peace. That is, disputes can be resolved through political consultation, rather than fighting and killing.
The last point is that in South Asia, all forces finally signed a ceasefire agreement, which made the dawn of peace appear, peace came again, and the world was less chaotic again.
With this ceasefire agreement, 11 countries have gained independence and sovereignty, and the United Nations will soon add 11 sovereign states.
And these are also regarded as the follow-up effects of Gorbachev's visit to China.
Liu Tao was happy and sad. He was happy about South Asia. The strategy was realized. In the future, there would be peace and no big fluctuations there. China would not need to invest too much energy in this direction, nor would it be too constrained.
The sad thing was that there would be no orders from Afghanistan in the future.
The Soviet army withdrew from Afghanistan, and the Americans would definitely not spend hundreds of millions of dollars every year to purchase weapons and ammunition for the guerrillas.
The Americans have always been ruthless. It is easy to talk to countries that are of use. Everything can be discussed. Once a country is no longer of use, they will immediately turn their faces and refuse to recognize it.
In the Afghan War, the Americans invested a lot of money in Afghanistan in order to mess with the Soviets here. There were three or four million guns purchased alone, and more than one billion rounds of ammunition.
Now that the Soviet army has withdrawn from Afghanistan, the Americans will definitely not be willing to give money to Afghanistan anymore.
As for the life and death of Afghanistan, the Americans will not care.
Because Afghanistan is no longer of use.
Liu Tao shook his head slightly. He was envious of Afghanistan. Afghanistan's geographical location was too important and had great strategic value. It was at the crossroads of the Eurasian continent. Whoever controlled it would have the initiative.
Moreover, Afghanistan had abundant natural resources, including iron, ferrous metal, copper, lead, zinc, nickel, lithium, beryllium, gold, silver, platinum, etc., as well as abundant natural gas resources.
But the problem was that Afghanistan was now in ruins, with everything to be rebuilt, and the forces were even more complicated. The initial investment was too large, and the output was limited, so the gains did not outweigh the losses.
He preferred to invest his money in Southeast Asia. Burma, Laos, Cambodia and North Vietnam all required large sums of money, and these places were more worthy of investment.
Moreover, these places were much safer than Afghanistan.
The returns were also much greater.
As for the two countries implementing the agreement, it was a matter of time. After all, the long border line would not relieve this strong pressure, which was not good for both countries.