Chapter 1201 Hedging Strategy
Why does China actively promote the "West-to-East Gas Transmission" project, the "West-to-East Oil Transmission" project, the "North-to-South Gas Transmission" project, and the "North-to-South Oil Transmission" project?
You know, the total investment here exceeds 1 trillion yuan, which is a huge investment!
It started in the 1990s when the Soviet Union was still there, and even the Soviet Union did not need investment. The investment funds were all provided by China.
Isn't it to ensure energy security!
The energy security lifeline must be firmly in China's own hands.
Every day, a large number of oil tankers travel to and from various routes to arrive in China, fully loaded with oil, which are all the blood that provides industry for China.
Why has China always attached great importance to its relations with Middle Eastern countries?
An extremely important reason is to ensure the stability and security of energy supply!
Now China has long surpassed the United States and become the world's largest oil importer. It is not too much to attach importance to oil security.
In order to ensure energy security, China has not only increased the exploitation of its own oil and natural gas, vigorously developed hydropower, wind power, tidal power, solar energy, nuclear power, etc., but also invested heavily in the diversification of energy import channels.
The five Central Asian countries and Russia can supply oil and gas to China through oil and gas pipelines, but this part only accounts for about 20% of China's oil and gas imports.
It is impossible for China to import 100% of oil and gas from the Middle East, nor is it possible to import 100% of oil and gas from the five Central Asian countries and Russia.
Now the Americans have occupied most of Iraq, at least the core areas of Iraq have fallen into the control of the Americans.
Then the next step for the Americans, in addition to operating Iraq and rebuilding Iraq's oil and gas industry to produce and export oil for profit, will inevitably use Iraq as a fulcrum to spread their influence to the entire Arab world, and use various means to enhance their influence and status in the Middle East, and then gain Gulf hegemony, and even take advantage of this opportunity to control the Red Sea and the Suez Canal.
How to deal with this move by the Americans is the top priority!
Everyone offered suggestions and considered and solved the problem from all aspects of politics, military, economy, culture, and technology.
In the end, everyone gradually reached a consensus.
First of all, the Afghan battlefield, which is close at hand, must adhere to the principles of the past, making it easy for the Americans to start a war and difficult to end the war. Being trapped in the Afghan battlefield, not to mention the hundreds of billions of dollars in military expenditures every year, as long as several billion dollars or tens of billions of dollars are burned every year, then the continuous bleeding for ten or twenty years will be considerable.
In this regard, in addition to the support of all parties for the guerrillas, they must continue to build momentum, praise the Americans, and hold the Americans high. The higher they are praised, the harder it is to fall down, and the more miserable it will be if they fall.
Until the end, the Americans could no longer bear it, and they left Afghanistan in disgrace.
In this regard, Panshan Group and relevant departments are very experienced.
On the one hand, they have to make money, and on the other hand, they take out part of the money they earn to do something, so as to form a sustainable cycle and realize the self-sustaining function.
There is no need to mobilize too much from other parts of the country, just relying on one area in the Western Regions.
It will not affect the overall development of the country.
Of course, the United States cannot occupy all of Afghanistan, which is also a red line drawn very early.
The red line they set at the beginning was that the coalition forces occupied 80% of Afghanistan and the guerrillas occupied 20% of Afghanistan.
But no one expected that it is still quite far from this red line.
Secondly, it is to stabilize the relationship with the Middle Eastern countries, especially Saudi Arabia and Persia. These are two strategic fulcrums to coordinate the relationship between Arabs and Persians and avoid war between Arabs and Persians.
If the Arabs and Persians go to war, the Americans will benefit the most, which is naturally to be avoided as much as possible.
Persia, from that year to now, the two sides have maintained friendly relations for more than 20 years.
Because of sanctions from Europe and the United States, Persia cannot import weapons, industrial products, or export oil and natural gas, and these are completely solved because of the Panshan Group.
After the end of the Iran-Iraq War, it was also through the Panshan Group that Persia could obtain a large amount of loans, so it took less than 10 years to complete the post-war reconstruction, resume oil exports before the millennium, and even increase oil exports.
The cooperation and exchanges between the two sides in the fields of politics, economy, military, culture, and science and technology are very close, and the two sides hold at least one highest-level meeting every year.
Many Persians go abroad to study in Chinese universities, and come to China as exchange students and international students, so as to access the modern world instead of being isolated by the world.
The conflict between Persians and Americans is huge, and so far, there is no possibility of normalization between the two countries.
Because Americans are not united.
The Pahlavi dynasty's exiled government is still in the United States!
Then there is Saudi Arabia, which is the largest and most influential Arab country. It is currently the leader of the Arab League and the Arab Coalition, the leader of Arab countries, and also the one with the most say in OPEC.
Now is to strengthen Saudi Arabia's capabilities and strength, so that Saudi Arabia can further enhance its status and influence in the Arab League and the Arab Coalition.
Then the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the United States is irreconcilable, because the United States cannot give Saudi Arabia more!
The United States wants to gain hegemony in the Gulf and the entire Middle East, rather than letting Saudi Arabia gain hegemony in the Middle East. Americans have never wanted to see Arab integration.
This is the irreconcilable contradiction between the two sides.
In addition, in terms of culture, one is Christian civilization and the other is Islamic civilization. Both civilizations are inherently exclusive.
In zero-sum games, it is very difficult for Europe and the United States to pursue win-win cooperation.
However, Chinese civilization is highly inclusive.
In addition, in terms of Iraq, some support cannot be cut off!
Saddam, Rashid and others are not dead, but have turned from the open to the dark. They can continue to cause trouble for the Americans in Iraq.
As long as they are there, Iraq cannot be really peaceful, and the Americans cannot carry out reconstruction work in Iraq quietly and steadily.
As long as the Americans cannot profit from Iraq, they have to continue to invest, which is a bleeding wound.
In addition, there are also many things to do if we jump out of the Middle East.
For example, further accelerate the regional economic integration of ASEAN 10+1 and South Asia 14+1, build a stable back garden, and this is still a huge market. Then promote the integration of Northeast Asia and strengthen the dialogue and exchanges between the two sides; and try to strengthen the Central Asian 5+1 strategy. Although this is bound to conflict with Russia's interests, there is no way, the game between major powers is like this.
Of course, there are also Africa and Latin America, which are emerging markets with great potential.
On the other hand, it is to cooperate and exchange with the European Union to further strengthen the relationship between the two sides.
To be honest, the two sides are far enough away that there is no big conflict of interest. It can even be said that they are natural allies with many common interests.
And the reason why they are in a state of ambiguous relationship and constant contradictions is largely because the Americans are obstructing them. (End of this chapter)